Hard Problems,
Proven Models

Some problems need more than an API call. Pricing engines that underwrite billions. Computer vision that earns FDA approval. Predictive systems that win championships. Dr. Erik Allen and team have been solving these for over 20 years — and shipping them into production.

Erik Allen, Ph.D.

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Erik Allen, Ph.D.

Erik Allen holds a Ph.D. in Computational Simulation from MIT. He built the predictive models that became the largest betting operation in Major League Baseball during the 2004–05 season, and designed the real-time decision-making systems that helped NASCAR race teams win three national championships before the technology was acquired by General Motors in 2020. He has led teams of 50+ technical staff, mentored and built at over 20 startups, and most recently architected the core underwriting model for Pie Insurance, now writing over $500M in annual premium and powering a billion-dollar business.

Case Studies

A selection of projects where we’ve partnered with companies to solve their hardest problems.

NASCAR

Real-time race strategy that wins championships

Predictive ModelsDecision Science

Designed decision-making software used by pit crews during live races. Contributed to three NASCAR national championships. Technology acquired by General Motors (NYSE: GM) in 2020.

Allianz

Automating insurance claims with specialized AI agents

Agentic AIClaims Automation

Worked with Allianz Group Technology to build Project Nemo, their first agentic AI system for automating insurance claims. Reduced claims processing time by 80%, settling simple claims in minutes instead of days. Built and deployed in under 100 days.

Imidex

Detecting cancer with superhuman accuracy

Computer Vision

Built a computer vision model for lung cancer detection that surpassed FDA medical device standards, leading to 510(k) FDA approval for Imidex's VisiRad XR product.

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BBHedge

Where algorithmic sports betting started

Predictive ModelsDecision Science

A team of MIT PhDs built statistically rigorous predictive models for baseball betting, years before analytics-driven wagering existed. The models returned 33,000% in a single season on a small bankroll. The team later collaborated with Billy Beane, the Oakland A's GM behind the Moneyball story.

Pie Insurance

Pricing Workers' Comp at a billion-dollar scale

Predictive ModelsPricing

Architected the core loss ratio underwriting model for Workers' Comp, one of the hardest lines in insurance to price. The model now underwrites over $500M in annual premium and is the foundation of a billion-dollar business.

Rubicon

Computer vision on every garbage truck in America

Computer Vision

Built convolutional neural networks that detect and count waste containers on truck routes in real time, turning a previously opaque fleet operation into a computable problem. The models enabled remote monitoring of truck assets at national scale and became the foundation of Rubicon's Fleet Technology Business Unit. Sold for ~$100M in 2024.

Rubicon

Pricing every ZIP Code in America, instantly

Predictive ModelsPricing

Built a nationwide pricing engine that cut average quote time from over a day to under a minute, unlocking the growth trajectory that led to Rubicon's IPO.

OpenWorks

Sub-second pricing for a national custodial services franchise

Data WarehousePricing

Built the core data warehouse that unified OpenWorks's disparate data sources, then designed automated pricing models on top of it that brought pricing decisions down to sub-second response times across multiple systems.

FlashParking

Identifying every vehicle in every parking lot

Computer VisionUnique Entity Resolution

Built convolutional neural networks for automatic vehicle recognition at parking facility entry and exit points. Replaced the need for attendants or mechanical gate systems with a single camera feed handling identification and access control. Enabled FlashParking to scale to over 16,000 locations across North America.

Lineup.ai

Real-time demand forecasting that actually works

Predictive Models

Combined sales data with weather, events, holidays, and TV schedules to improve demand prediction accuracy by 40%, directly reducing labor costs and waste across locations.

IDI Logistics

Automating government data workflows with AI

Generative AIAdvanced Web Scraping

Built a system that scrapes 100+ government websites and delivers weekly AI-generated intelligence summaries, replacing days of manual research with a single automated pipeline.

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